Bet

In praise of prediction markets

It can be tough to know what to make of events as they happen on election days. In New Zealand, the task of working out who is winning is fairly simple. Read more

Insights Newsletter
6 November, 2020
Greenhouse emissions v2

Orr adds more heat than light on emissions

Last week the Governor of the Reserve Bank Adrian Orr issued a call to action on climate change. Titled “Progressing Climate Action by Driving Transformational Change” it sounded like a political stump speech. Read more

Stuff
2 November, 2020
Emergency v3

OODA loops and media bias

As US military strategist John Boyd said about his “OODA loop” theory (observe, orient, decide, act), if one’s orientation is out by just a millimetre, the entire strategy fails. A new site called mediabias.co.nz measures the political bias of New Zealand news services and it shows those worried about media bias are worried about the wrong thing. Read more

Insights Newsletter
30 October, 2020

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