Beyond Targets: How to plan when predictions no longer set the rules
Housing targets have long been a political football. They are also an emotional political subject. Read more
Housing targets have long been a political football. They are also an emotional political subject. Read more
Observers of European politics know Alternative for Germany as a right-wing populist party, probably extreme and certainly friendly to Russia. Less visible from the outside is that the AfD is not an ordinary opposition party that might win an election, govern badly and then be voted out. Read more
When Jim Chalmers stood up on budget night and announced the end of negative gearing on established properties, he assured Australians it was worth breaking a promise for “right and justifiable reasons.” Grant Robertson, New Zealand’s finance minister, said something remarkably similar in March 2021 when he broke his own promise not to extend the bright-line test on property. Robertson called his earlier commitment “too definitive.” A New Zealand Herald columnist observed that this sounded a lot like “too honest.” New Zealanders know how this story ends. Read more
Ahead of New Zealand’s 2017 election, I floated the idea of a grand coalition between National and Labour in a few columns. The circumstances back then made it appealing. Read more
| GDP Quarterly Change: | 1.01% |
|---|---|
| GDP Annual Change: | 1.30% |
| Inflation: | 3.12% |
| Optimal OCR: | 2.36% |
| Optimal OCR Gap: | 0.11% |
| Forecasted OCR Change: | 0.25% |