Watching Australia’s 2025 federal election from Wellington gave me an uncanny sense of déjà vu. As Labor swept to power with a commanding parliamentary majority and the Liberal-National Coalition suffered its worst defeat in generations, I could not help but think: “I have seen this movie before.”

New Zealand’s Labour Party swept to power in 2020 with the first single-party majority under our proportional representation system. Ardern secured 50 percent of the vote while National collapsed to 26 percent – their worst result in decades.

Three years later, Labour was unceremoniously ejected from office.

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