
Putin’s dangerous war games
Geopolitics offers no shortage of distractions. Ukraine peace negotiations lurch forward then stall. Read more
Oliver is the Executive Director of The New Zealand Initiative. Before joining the Initiative, he was a Research Fellow at the Centre for Independent Studies in Sydney, the Chief Economist at Policy Exchange in London, and an advisor in the UK House of Lords. Oliver holds a Master’s degree in Economics and Business administration and a PhD in Law from Bochum University in Germany.
Oliver is available to comment on all of the Initiative’s research areas.
Phone: +64 4 499 0790
Geopolitics offers no shortage of distractions. Ukraine peace negotiations lurch forward then stall. Read more
In this episode, Oliver Hartwich and former Australian Department of Home Affairs Secretary Michael Pezzullo discuss growing regional security threats, with Pezzullo warning of a 10-20% chance of conflict with China while advocating for an integrated ANZAC military force. Pezzullo argues that New Zealand should reconsider its anti-nuclear stance to join AUKUS as a full partner, increase its defence spending beyond the current 1.2% of GDP, and recognise that "if Australia goes down, New Zealand is next" - emphasising that both countries need a unified approach to territorial defence in an increasingly unstable Indo-Pacific region. Read more
“On April 2nd, reciprocal tariffs kick in,” declared President Donald Trump in his recent address to Congress. With these words, he signalled not merely a policy shift but the end of globalisation as we have known it. Read more
Wellington (Thursday, 13 March 2025) - The New Zealand Initiative will release a revealing podcast tomorrow featuring Michael Pezzullo, former Secretary of the Australian Department of Home Affairs, who makes a stark call for an integrated Australia-New Zealand military force to counter rising tensions in the Indo-Pacific region. In the wide-ranging interview with The New Zealand Initiative's Executive Director Dr Oliver Hartwich, Pezzullo makes several newsworthy statements, including: Calling for New Zealand to commit to Australia's defence through an "integrated ANZAC force" with combined command structures and joint units specifically for territorial defence Suggesting New Zealand reconsider its anti-nuclear stance to join the AUKUS security pact as a full partner Warning of a "10 to 20 percent chance" of conflict with China, which he describes as high enough that both countries should make serious preparations "The defence of New Zealand actually starts at the outer edge of the Australian territorial sphere," Pezzullo states in the interview. Read more
In this episode, Oliver interviews Jemma Stevenson, a new economist at The New Zealand Initiative, about her background and current research on government inefficiency. Jemma is working on a sequel to the Initiative's research on "Cabinet Congestion," examining whether New Zealand's complex government structure of 81 portfolios and 28 ministers leads to increased spending compared to more streamlined systems like Norway's. Read more
If you read this as we send out this newsletter, we are just preparing to meet with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) delegation visiting Wellington for their biennial Article IV consultation. The IMF conducts these comprehensive economic assessments of its member countries every two years. Read more
Dr Oliver Hartwich was featured in Newstalk ZB's news segments on Adrian Orr's resignation as Governor of RBNZ. Listen below. Read more
This is a fascinating journey into the art of learning with Professor Barbara Oakley, the brilliant mind behind the popular online course "Learning How to Learn" and New York Times bestselling author, as she joins us as our new Senior Fellow. Over the next 5 months, Barbara will embark on an exciting mission across New Zealand, collaborating directly with Primary and Secondary schools to transform how teachers approach education, particularly in mathematics. Read more
The Kremlin’s poisoning of democratic discourse has reached New Zealand. What would once have seemed unthinkable is now plain to see: Russian propaganda narratives have infiltrated our public debate, even on this distant shore. Read more
In this episode, Oliver talks to Bryce about his new report "The People's Portfolio", which examines New Zealand's $571 billion in Crown-owned assets and makes the case for privatising many of them to improve economic efficiency rather than simply raising funds. They discuss how current government ownership of these assets is actually costing taxpayers money, the historical success of privatisations like Telecom, and the challenges of implementing a politically viable privatisation strategy. Read more
“New Zealand is the best country on Planet Earth,” Christopher Luxon keeps telling anyone. Indeed, he has been saying this since before becoming Prime Minister. Read more
Dr Oliver Hartwich talked to Ryan Bridge on Newstalk ZB about Germany's recent election results, where the Christian Democrats won with 28% while the far-right AfD achieved 20%, and the economic challenges facing the country. He explained how energy costs, bureaucracy, and migration policies contributed to political shifts, while noting that Germany will likely form another "Grand Coalition" between traditionally opposed parties to govern the nation. Read more
In this episode, Michael and Oliver sound the alarm about the transformation of global power following a February 2025 phone call between Presidents Trump and Putin, where the US reportedly conceded to Russia's demands over Ukraine without consulting European allies. They examine what they see as the collapse of the post-WWII liberal democratic order and its dire implications for Europe, the Pacific region, and New Zealand's future in an increasingly unstable world. Read more
When US President Donald Trump called Vladimir Putin on 12 February, he made history – but not in a good way. Following a 90-minute conversation, Trump announced he would meet Putin first in Saudi Arabia and then visit Moscow, while Putin would come to Washington. Read more
Prime Minister Christopher Luxon has promised everything his government does this year will focus on creating growth. That is great. Read more